👉The three companies are "fundamentally different in valuation 」:
| Company | Types of Valuation | Essence |
|---|---|---|
| Siemens | 🏭industrial white horse | Stable Cash Flow Software Premium |
| Delta Electric | ⚡Growth Transformation Unit | AI power base |
| Inovance Technology | 🚀high growth stocks | Domestic substitution market accounted for expansion |
👉Fuse Conclusion:
Short-term look at Delta, medium-term look at Huichuan, long-term is still the most stable Siemens.
But if you ask:
👉 Who is most likely to be the "super leader (valuation explosion) 」?
I will give you a very clear answer:
🥇Huichuan (maximum elasticity)
🥈Taitas (most determined growth)
🥉Siemens (most stable but most difficult to soar)
2. company-by-company split "valuation logic"
1️⃣Ximeji: Typical "high quality industrial white horse"
✔Current Valuation (Core Data)
- P/E approx.21-23 times (global ontology)
- Some market valuations even reachMore than 60 times (subsidiary/regional market)
👉Conclusion:
Already with a "slight tech premium 」
✔Why is the market valuing this?
Three reasons:
① Software (the most critical)
- Industrial Software Digital Twin
👉This part is "close to SaaS valuation 」
② Extremely stable cash flow
- High ROCE(20% +)
👉Similar:
"Industrial version microsoft GE"
③ Global monopoly position
- High End Market Unchanged
✔Future Share Price Drivers
- Speed of industrial AI realization
- Software revenue share (whether> 40%)
- Order Visibility (Energy/Automation)
✔Valuation Ceiling
👉Very realistic:
- Will not become 50-80 times PE long-term company
- Because:
- Growth rate finite (10-15%)
👉Core Judgment
Siemens = "Slow Bull Stock", Not Outbreak Stock
two️⃣Delta: Companies in the process of "valuation revaluation"
(This company is actually the most important)
✔Valuation logic (changing)
Past:
👉Power supplier (low valuation)
Current:
👉AI Infrastructure Core (High Valuation)
✔Why is the market revaluing?
① AI data center outbreak (maximum variable)
- Power dissipation = AI core
👉Analogy:
Taitai ≈ "Industrial Edition Platform Power Supply Edition NVIDIA Mantle"
High growth start appearance
- Artificial intelligence power demand explosion
- Synchronous growth of electric vehicles/automation
✔The Nature of Valuation
👉From:
- 15-20 times (manufacturing crotch)
👉Towards:
- 25-35 times (growth crotch)
✔Future Share Price Drivers
- AI Data Center Orders (Max)
- Gross margin improvement (key validation)
- Whether software/system capability is established
✔Maximum risk
- AI demand is cyclical (fluctuating like GPUs).
👉Core Judgment
Delta = "the company most certain to become expensive 」
3️⃣Huichuan Technology: the most typical "high valuation growth stocks 」
✔The Nature of Valuation
👉The market is buying three things:
- Domestic substitution
- Increased market share
- Long-term growth (>25%)
✔Why give a high valuation?
👉Because it's like the early ones:
- Aesthetic (industrial)
- Sany Heavy Industry (Equipment)
- or "Chinese Rockwell 」
✔True logic (very important)
The market is not looking profitable now.
👉But in the bet:
"Will China's industrial control market eventually be taken down by it 」
✔Future Share Price Drivers
- High End Breakthrough (PLC/Semi-Conductive)
- Robot business explosion
- domestic substitution policy
✔Maximum risk
- Once growth is slowing down-valuations are killing fast.
- High-end technology blocked
👉Core Judgment
Huichuan = "High Beta High Risk High Outbreak"
Comparison of 3. three valuation models
| Indicator | Siemens | Delta Electric | 川 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Growth rate | 10–15% | 15–25% | 25–35% |
| Valuation logic | Cash flow | Growth revaluation | market share expansion |
| PE interval | 20–30 | 25-35 (rising) | 30–60 |
| Volatility | Low | Middle | High |
| ceiling | Low | Middle and high | High |
4. who is most likely to be the "super leader 」?
We need to define the "super faucet" first 」:
👉Like NVIDIA / ASML
= High valuation monopoly high growth
🥇First place: Huichuan (most likely to explode)
✔Reason
- Largest Market (China)
- Growing up
- The replacement dividend is huge.
👉If successful:
May become "Chinese version of Siemens FANUC 」
❗But pay attention
👉It's a high-risk bet 」
🥈Second place: Delta Electric (the most stable winner)
✔Reason
- Artificial intelligence energy is a long-term trend.
- Not dependent on single market
- High technical threshold (power supply, heat dissipation)
👉If successful:
Will become a "AI Infrastructure Core Company" (similar to the power version of NVIDIA)
🥉Third place: Siemens (won't lose, but also won't burst)
✔Reason
- Too mature
- Growth finite
👉Type:
Similar to Microsoft, not Nvidia
5. the most critical investment conclusions
If you are:
🧠Conservative
👉Choose Siemens
(Steady long-term compounding)
⚖️ Balanced
👉Selectable
(Confirm Growth Imagination)
🔥Offensive
👉Eleci River
(Maximum outbreak potential, but highest risk)
Last word
The final result of future industrial control is not who makes the best equipment.
but who holds both:
AI (brain) electricity (blood) control (nerve)